Conflicting Messages Again

Most every week we begin this post talking about the lack of consensus that financial markets and financial pundits are presenting. In addition to that most of our posts involve complaining about the Federal Reserve and their creation of these chaotic conditions. This...

Economy Slowing – Interest Rates Lowering?

As we have mentioned repeatedly in this weekly post, the resilience of the U.S. stock market considering aggressive interest rate hikes from the FED has been quite impressive. The driving force behind this strength could be a combination of a number of things. Left...

New Bull Market

If you have been paying attention to the financial press over the last week then you are probably familiar with the news that the S&P 500 is in a new bull market. This is of course, an arbitrary label that really doesn’t mean much. But the fact that the S&P...

Wall Street Bear Analysts Capitulate

The long-anticipated stock bear market and economic recession just hasn’t materialized. The Federal Reserve has gone on the most aggressive raising of interest rates in more than a generation in an attempt to stamp out inflation. That has resulted in some distortions...

Recession Indicator Warning

There is a lot of bad news, political, economic and otherwise in the news right now. It probably isn’t a huge surprise when we tell you that the Fed’s recession risk indicator is now greater than it was in November 2007. If you recall, this was the time right in front...

Bankruptcies – A Bad Start to the Year

Of course, businesspeople fear bankruptcy, but it is an essential part of the structure of capitalism.  Misallocated resources need to be reallocated and it can be a painful process. Up until the last year, we have been in a 30 plus year downtrend in interest rates...